Overcoming Cynicism
Most of us know the story
of Chicken Little who ran around warning the barnyard of
impending doom. We all
know people who are that way. There’s a
Chicken Little inside
each of us.
As I stated earlier, the
cynic is really a little chicken. We all get
a little chicken when
fear and doubt cloud our thoughts.
All of us have doubts:
“I’m not smart.” “I’m not good enough.”
“So-and-so is better
than me.” Our doubts often paralyze us. We
play the “What if?”
game. “What if the economy crashes right after
I invest?” “What if I
lose control and I can’t pay the money back?”
“What if things don’t go
as I planned?” Or we have friends or loved
ones who will remind us
of our shortcomings. They often say, “What
makes you think you can
do that?” “If it’s such a good idea, how come
someone else hasn’t done
it?” “That will never work. You don’t know
what you’re talking
about.” These words of doubt often get so loud
that we fail to act. A
horrible feeling builds in our stomach. Sometimes
we can’t sleep. We fail
to move forward. So we stay with what is
safe, and opportunities
pass us by. We watch life passing by as we sit
immobilized with a cold
knot in our body. We have all felt this at one
time in our lives, some
more than others.
Peter Lynch of Fidelity
Magellan mutual-fund fame refers to
warnings about the sky
falling as “noise,” and we all hear it.
Noise is either created
inside our heads or comes from outside,
often from friends,
family, co-workers, and the media. Lynch recalls
the time during the
1950s when the threat of nuclear war was so
prevalent in the news
that people began building fallout shelters and
storing food and water.
If they had invested that money wisely in
the market, instead of
building a fallout shelter, they’d probably be
financially independent
today.
When violence breaks out
in a city, gun sales go up all over the
country. A person dies
from rare hamburger meat in the state of
Washington, and the
Arizona Health Department orders restaurants to
have all beef cooked
well-done. A drug company runs a TV commercial
in February showing
people catching the flu. Colds go up as well as
sales of cold medicine.
Most people are poor
because, when it comes to investing, the
world is filled with
Chicken Littles running around yelling, “The sky
is falling! The sky is
falling!” And Chicken Littles are
effective, because
every one of us is a
little chicken. It often takes great courage to not
let rumors and talk of
doom and gloom affect your doubts and fears.
But a savvy investor
knows that the seemingly worst of times is actually
the best of times to
make money. When everyone else is too afraid to
act, they pull the
trigger and are rewarded.
Some time ago, a friend
named Richard came from Boston to visit
Kim and me in Phoenix.
He was impressed with what we had done
through stocks and real
estate. The Phoenix real estate prices were
depressed. We spent two
days showing him what we thought were
excellent
opportunities for cash flow and capital appreciation.
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